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The Obama Polling Surge

By The Daily Dish

Sep 19 2008, 8:42 AM ET

It's continuing. Nate Silver:

On the strength of an abundance of state and national polling, Barack Obama has retaken the lead in our Electoral College projection. Our model now forecasts him to win the election 61.2 percent of the time; it also gives him a slight, half-point advantage in the popular vote. Yesterday, Obama was projected to win the Electoral College just 45 percent of the time, so this is a rather dramatic move upward.



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