As The Bounces Recede

More

According to RCP's poll of polls, McCain's post-convention bounce peaked at a 2.9 percent national lead over Obama on September 8. Six days later, it's now at 1.3 percent. Obama's post convention bounce gave him a peak of 6.4 percent on September 2. It was gone by September 6. Pollster's poll of polls gives McCain a national lead of 1.8 percent. Pollster's electoral college prediction still shows a small Obama advantage. RCP's electoral college tally records a small advantage for Obama-Biden in the electoral college. But 538 shows a clear McCain lead in the electoral college.

Now's the time to begin to see the fundamentals emerge after both conventions and the soap opera of Palin temporarily dies down. Basically: it's tied with a tiny edge to McCain in the national vote and a tiny edge to Obama in the electoral college. Gallup's tracking shows the race closing again. My own view is that Palin has all but killed the McCain candidacy. And her real advantage was novelty. Once people realize she has no record of even interest in foreign policy and is a serial liar, her unfavorables will continue to rise.

Jump to comments

2006-2011 archives for The Daily Dish, featuring Andrew Sullivan

Get Today's Top Stories in Your Inbox (preview)

Why Do People Love Times Square?

A filmmaker asks New Yorkers and tourists about the allure of Broadway's iconic plaza


Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

Why Do People Love Times Square?

A filmmaker asks New Yorkers and tourists about the allure of Broadway's iconic plaza

Video

A Time-Lapse of Alaska's Northern Lights

The beauty of aurora borealis, as seen from America's last frontier

Video

What Do You Wish You Learned in College?

Ivy League academics reveal their undergrad regrets

Video

Famous Movies, Reimagined

From Apocalypse Now to The Lord of the Rings, this clever video puts a new spin on Hollywood's greatest hits.

Video

What Is a City?

Cities are like nothing else on Earth.

Writers

Up
Down