There's no doubt that ultimately the bondholders are going to take a big, deep haircut in bankruptcy. But the fantasy where they quietly accept it while the court crams everything desireable into one company, while leaving a few paperclips and the healthcare obligations behind for the creditors, seems . . . extreme. Indeed, I don't think the government believes it either. I think they're just pretending too, so they can act all horrified and sad when it turns out that the UAW has to make some concessions too.
But I don't expect either group to make concessions outside of bankruptcy, even if they'd be better off not going before the court. Each side seems to believe for its own good reasons that someone else has the moral responsibility to bear most of the pain. They won't take a barely decent deal if it means someone else gets a better one.
This article available online at:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2009/04/a-quick-bankruptcy-for-gm/13035/
