The Fall of 'Trickle-Down' and the Rise of 'Middle-Out' Economics

Call it the Osawatomie Doctrine: President Obama's election victory one month ago today began with a speech he made one year ago today

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Obama speaking in Osawatomie High School, Kansas, December 6, 2011; Reuters

A year ago, President Obama gave a speech in Osawatomie, Kansas where he laid out a vision of how the economy grows. This vision proved a successful way to connect with voters during the campaign. Now, as Congress debates whether to push the U.S. economy over the so-called fiscal cliff and policymakers consider far-reaching changes to our nation's tax code and entitlement, this is the time to effect on the economic reality behind Obama's middle-out economics.

On December 6th, 2011, President Obama made the argument that the economy grows from the middle out. This argument was a direct refutation of the supply-side argument that claims that economic growth comes from lowering costs for businesses, most especially keeping taxes low and enacting limited regulations.

In Osawatomie, President Obama said, "I am here to say the [the supply siders] are wrong. I'm here in Kansas to reaffirm my deep conviction that we're greater together than we are on our own. I believe that this country succeeds when everyone gets a fair shot, when everyone does their fair share, when everyone plays by the same rules".

This economic message was honed during the campaign. President Obama emphasized this theme in the second debate and spoke regularly about it this fall. "I believe you grow the economy from the middle out," he said in a key October ad.

Polling data showed that this message was compelling to voters. While pollsters often ask which candidate would do better on creating jobs, a Bloomberg poll done in September asked a deeper question: "Whom do you think has laid out a better vision for a successful economic future for the U.S.: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" On this question, Obama beat Romney by 10 percentage points.

In October, the Democratic polling firm Penn Schoen Berland tested twelve economic messages from the candidate's convention addresses and stump speeches and found that the top scoring messages were Obama's vision that the economy grows from the middle-out, rather than through trickle-down.

As the President pushes policymakers towards this new vision of the economy, he and the Congress should know that there is a growing chorus of economists who back up the idea of middle-out economics.

Just over a year ago, the Center for American Progress held a meeting with 40 economists, including two Nobel Laureates, asking them what evidence they saw for the idea that inequality may hinder or destabilize economic growth and, conversely, a strong middle class would support sustainable growth.

Like any meeting of top-flight economists, they all had much to say. But, what was surprising was that the general consensus was that there is empirical evidence supporting what the President calls middle out economics.

Presented by

Heather Boushey is the executive director and chief economist at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth.

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