Mayor Castro's city is a good reminder that government has a role in supporting economic growth, but that dependence on government-protected industries carries the risk of atrophying a local economy.
Julián Castro, the 37-year-old mayor of San Antonio, will deliver a
keynote address tonight, on the first day of the Democratic National
Convention. While not yet a major national figure, Castro is nonetheless
one of the brighter Hispanic stars in a party that relies heavily on
dominating the non-white vote. But even without his telegenic youth and
background, Castro is still a perfect opening savlo against a GOP
convention that praised entrepreneurs who succeeded on their own -- "We
Built That" -- without the help of government.
That's because, in San Antonio, government spending has made all the difference.
In 2010 I went to San Antonio to find out what made it the "most
recession-proof city in America." What became clear very quickly, from
studying metro statistics and speaking with business leaders and Castro
himself, was that, for much of the last decade, San Antonio was a
tortoise in a country full of hares. While much of the Sun Belt saw massive population growth and booming
economies on the back of rising housing prices, San Antonio grew
steadily, without a big home-price boost.
The city is powered by three major industries, all directly or indirectly supported by government, which I'll call: eds,
meds, and enlisteds. Education, medicine/biosciences, and military and
local government spending employed a third of the city's workers in 2010. Its 31 colleges and universities
(mostly public) enrolled another 100,000 students, boosting the cities population by 8 percent in school time. Hundreds of thousands more jobs are in low-paying
services that would not have existed without government-supported
hospitals and military spending.
Many of the people I met in San Antonio, including the mayor, praised the city's patience with economic growth. But something like luck played a big role, as well. In the latest military realignment round, San Antonio got a $2.2 billion investment to build the nation's largest new military medical complex at Fort Sam Houston, to go along with its two Air Force training centers. Would San Antonio have had the same recovery record without its windfall from Washington? We simply don't know. But it's not likely.
In our interview, Castro acknowledged that the bedrock of San Antonio's economy was not in bright shiny venture capital industries (in fact, the city's information sector is shrinking), but rather in safe and conservative industries that were largely non-cyclical, and therefore recession-proof. He further conceded that the city was blessed by the most uncontrollable factor of all: geography. "We've got lots of affordable land," he told me, which helps keep housing prices low. The proximity to the border creates a "constant supply of labor
[that] feeds the hospitality industry" and keeps wage levels down.