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Megan McArdle

Megan McArdle - Megan McArdle is a senior editor for The Atlantic who writes about business and economics. She has worked at three start-ups, a consulting firm, an investment bank, a disaster recovery firm at Ground Zero, and The Economist. She is currently on leave.
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Megan was born and raised on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and yes, she does enjoy her lattes, as well as the occasional extra-dry skim-milk cappuccino. Her checkered work history includes three start-ups, four years as a technology project manager for a boutique consulting firm, a summer as an associate at an investment bank, and a year spent as sort of an executive copy girl for one of the disaster-recovery firms at Ground Zero � all before the age of 30.

While working at Ground Zero, Megan started Live From the WTC, a blog focused on economics, business, and cooking. She may or may not have been the first major economics blogger, depending on whether we are allowed to throw outlying variables such as Brad Delong out of the set. From there it was but a few steps down the slippery slope to freelance journalism. She has worked in various capacities for The Economist, where she wrote about economics and oversaw the founding of Free Exchange, the magazine's economics blog. She has also maintained her own blog, Asymmetrical Information, which moved to The Atlantic, along with its owner, in August 2007.

Megan holds a bachelor's degree in English literature from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago. After a lifetime as a New Yorker, she now resides in northwest Washington, D.C., where she is still trying to figure out what one does with an apartment larger than 400 square feet.

Higher Inflation, Lower Real Wages?

By Megan McArdle
Sep 20 2011, 3:22 PM ET Comment

I see that the idea of targeting 4% inflation is picking up a little steam in the blogosphere--Karl Smith proposes, and Kevin Drum agrees:


In practice, the Fed doesn't target 2% inflation. If they did, it would sometimes be a bit below that and sometimes a bit above. In practice, they treat 2% as a ceiling, which leads to inflation that's lately been in the neighborhood of 1-2%. So why not adopt a target of 4%, but explicitly make it a ceiling? That would actually be easier to maintain (no more arguing about whether inflation has been above the target for "too long") and would probably produce actual inflation in the 3-4% range. The genie would stay in the bottle and monetary policy would have more bite.

The popularity of this idea with left-wing bloggers (I believe Matt Yglesias is also a fan) naturally makes me think of real wages.  What would higher inflation mean for that median worker whose wages, we keep hearing, are stagnating so quickly?


One of the salutary effects of higher inflation is that it assists in speedy economic adjustment because it solves the problem of sticky wages: people will not easily accept reductions in their nominal standard of living, but if inflation outpaces their wage growth, they are effectively getting a pay cut.

If we think that broader trends in society are pushing down the returns to low-wage labor, while raising the incomes of a favored cognitive elite, then does higher inflation hasten that process?  Or is it counterbalanced by the hit that fixed-income investors take, at least in the short term?

I don't know what the ultimate effect would be, but I'd be surprised if it were neutral.


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