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Higher Inflation, Lower Real Wages?
ByI see that the idea of targeting 4% inflation is picking up a little steam in the blogosphere--Karl Smith proposes, and Kevin Drum agrees:
In practice, the Fed doesn't target 2% inflation. If they did, it would sometimes be a bit below that and sometimes a bit above. In practice, they treat 2% as a ceiling, which leads to inflation that's lately been in the neighborhood of 1-2%. So why not adopt a target of 4%, but explicitly make it a ceiling? That would actually be easier to maintain (no more arguing about whether inflation has been above the target for "too long") and would probably produce actual inflation in the 3-4% range. The genie would stay in the bottle and monetary policy would have more bite.
The popularity of this idea with left-wing bloggers (I believe Matt Yglesias is also a fan) naturally makes me think of real wages. What would higher inflation mean for that median worker whose wages, we keep hearing, are stagnating so quickly?













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