The 30-Year Collapse of American Economic Optimism

More

The three decade decline of economic optimism in American families has perhaps never been clearer than in this graph.

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers asks participants by what percent do they expect the family's income to increase during the next 12 months. Over the last 30 years, optimism has plummeted:

01infpri-2.gif

This is a depressing picture, and it carries an important lesson for lawmakers. If workers don't expect wages to rise, and employers aren't paying workers more money, then there is very little indication that we're entering what economists call a price-wage spiral. That's where workers demand higher wages, which raise the cost of production, which requires higher prices, which feeds back into higher wages. Instead, we're seeing a U.S. economy with very little froth getting pelted with higher gas prices, thanks to rising demand and endangered supply in the Middle East.

Read the full story at Cleveland Fed.

Jump to comments

Derek Thompson is a senior editor at The Atlantic, where he oversees business coverage for TheAtlantic.com. More

Thompson has written for Slate, BusinessWeek, and the Daily Beast. He has also appeared as a guest on radio and television networks, including NPR, the BBC, CNBC, and MSNBC.

Get Today's Top Stories in Your Inbox (preview)


Elsewhere on the web

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

Miami: The Next Big Start-Up City?

How the city became a center for innovation

Video

Video

A Brief History of Romantic Comedies

From The Atlantic's Chris Orr

Video

Life in 'the New Arctic'

A moving portrait of a fading landscape

Video

Video

The Rise of New York City

A fascinating look at Manhattan in the 1940s

Video

What Is Methane Hydrate?

"Flaming ice" is a vast natural energy source

Video

NASA's Time-Lapse of the Sun

Now with epic dubstep music

Video

Shaken Not Tuned: Cocktail Experiments

Can a tuning fork improve a cocktail?

Video

Video

Is He Cheating? A 1950s Guide

'That little blonde secretary from the office?’

Video

New Yorkers: Vintage Vacuum-Tube Amps

Risking electric shock to restore old amplifiers

Video

The DIY Piano-Bicycle

Everybody needs a hobby

Video

What Does It Take to Make Real Craft Gin?

Tour the Green Hat Gin distillery

Video

Letter From the Editor

The June 2013 issue

Video

What Straights Can Learn From Same-Sex Couples

New insight from decades of research

Video

The End of the Mall Rat

A tribute to that pillar of teen culture

Writers

Up
Down

More in Business

In Focus

Picking up the Pieces After the Tornado in Moore, Oklahoma

Just In