The Deficit Debate Is in the Twilight Zone

More

In a deep background meeting with Tim Geithner and other members of the Treasury last week, one high ranking official told a group of reporters the White House was holding its breath to see how Congress would approach budget reform.

Today, Congress calls the administration's bluff with a public letter asking for "a strong signal of support" from the White House on deficit reduction. The letter was signed by 64 senators -- nearly enough to over-ride a presidential veto if their names appeared on a bill. So, a super-majority of senators have come together to ask the White House to help a super-majority of senators come together. Confused? You should be.

The White House is waiting for Congress to do something, which is waiting for the White House to do something ... and the fact remains that doing nothing might actually accomplish more than either side doing anything. If Congress writes no legislation (or letters, for that matter) in the next two years, the tax cuts passed in December 2010 will expire and automatically reduce our projected debt by at least $3 trillion over the next decade.*

Ezra Klein describes the folly with pitch-perfect bemusement:

For 64 senators to instead write letters about how someone else should be making affirmative noises about deficit reduction, well, read closely, that's a signal of a very different kind. The reality is that the White House can't write the bill on Congress's behalf. It can't pass the bill through Congress. And it can't kill the bill Congress passes if the bill has a veto-proof majority.

The upshot is that all actors are waiting for somebody else to do their job while they all float trial balloons about "starting a conversation" on deficit reduction. Only in Washington does asking to "start a conversation" mean, I would prefer that somebody else talk about this.

____
* To be sure, this "doing nothing" plan is very expensive for the typical American family, because it means the full and immediate expiration of the December 2010 tax cut deal, which extended the Bush tax cuts, added a payroll tax holiday, and preserved some stimulus tax relief. Allowing the whole caboodle to expire by "doing nothing" would amount to a 4% hit -- or a $2,000 pay cut -- to the typical earner in 2012. To put that in perspective, that's arguable a worse hit to earners than the deficit commission's controversial plan to reform Social Security benefits.




Jump to comments

Derek Thompson is a senior editor at The Atlantic, where he oversees business coverage for TheAtlantic.com. More

Thompson has written for Slate, BusinessWeek, and the Daily Beast. He has also appeared as a guest on radio and television networks, including NPR, the BBC, CNBC, and MSNBC.

Get Today's Top Stories in Your Inbox (preview)

Video

More Video
Here's What Happens When You Light a Fire in Space


Elsewhere on the web

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

Miami: The Next Big Start-Up City?

How the city became a center for innovation

Video

Video

A Brief History of Romantic Comedies

From The Atlantic's Chris Orr

Video

Life in 'the New Arctic'

A moving portrait of a fading landscape

Video

Video

The Rise of New York City

A fascinating look at Manhattan in the 1940s

Video

What Is Methane Hydrate?

"Flaming ice" is a vast natural energy source

Video

NASA's Time-Lapse of the Sun

Now with epic dubstep music

Video

Shaken Not Tuned: Cocktail Experiments

Can a tuning fork improve a cocktail?

Video

Video

Is He Cheating? A 1950s Guide

'That little blonde secretary from the office?’

Video

New Yorkers: Vintage Vacuum-Tube Amps

Risking electric shock to restore old amplifiers

Video

The DIY Piano-Bicycle

Everybody needs a hobby

Video

What Does It Take to Make Real Craft Gin?

Tour the Green Hat Gin distillery

Video

What Straights Can Learn From Same-Sex Couples

New insight from decades of research

Video

The End of the Mall Rat

A tribute to that pillar of teen culture

Video

The Wonderful World of Capitalism

An adorable 1950s cartoon

Video

New Yorkers: Miss New York USA

An unconventional beauty queen.

Writers

Up
Down

More in Business

In Focus

Protests Spread Across Brazil

Just In