Why Britain's Age of Austerity Is So Important

More

The UK has announced the largest spending cuts since World War II. The government plans to eliminate half a million jobs in the next four years, curtail retirement plans, create new taxes on banks and cut department sizes by about a fifth.

Before we get into what this might mean, let's talk about why it's necessary. Normally, you'd expect governments to embark on fiscal austerity projects when its debt begins to eclipse its growth. Britain has a moderate debt burden relative to GDP. Why is it cutting so aggressively?

At 70 percent, Britain's public debt to GDP ratio is no worse than healthier European economies like Germany and Austria. But when you look at public and private debt combined, the picture gets very bleak very quickly.

According to a McKinsey Global Institute report, the UK is "world's worst offender for private and public debt in comparison to GDP after Japan." The ratio of household debt to income yawned to 160 percent in 2008, even worse than the United States. With its legion of international banks exposed to the subprime mortgage crash, Britain essentially suffered something very much like the United States: years of overspending and financial wizardry coming to a crashing halt in 2008.

But if the United States and Britain share similar pasts, they're embarking on divergent paths of recovery. While the Obama administration has pushed for moderate stimulus and high deficit -spending following the 2009 Recovery Act, Britain is taking a stiff-upper-lip approach to crisis budgeting to prove to its lenders that it will spend the next hundred billion more carefully.

History does not afford many fair side-by-side comparisons, but this should be an interesting case study. My fear for the UK is that investors are looking for lights at the end of the tunnel, and if the UK's recovery slows as a result of this belt-tightening, that tunnel to full recovery gets longer.

Crises starting in the financial sector tend to end with exports, and Britain trades first and foremost with the European continent, much of which is under-going its own cuts. The risk here is that Europeans cut back their spending all at the same time, each neighbor beggaring his neighbor, until every country becomes a beggar. The European consumer can't recover if the entire continent squeezes its families for cash simultaneously.


Jump to comments

Derek Thompson is a senior editor at The Atlantic, where he oversees business coverage for TheAtlantic.com. More

Thompson has written for Slate, BusinessWeek, and the Daily Beast. He has also appeared as a guest on radio and television networks, including NPR, the BBC, CNBC, and MSNBC.

Get Today's Top Stories in Your Inbox (preview)


Elsewhere on the web

Join the Discussion

After you comment, click Post. If you’re not already logged in you will be asked to log in or register. blog comments powered by Disqus

Video

Miami: The Next Big Start-Up City?

How the city became a center for innovation

Video

Video

A Brief History of Romantic Comedies

From The Atlantic's Chris Orr

Video

Life in 'the New Arctic'

A moving portrait of a fading landscape

Video

Video

The Rise of New York City

A fascinating look at Manhattan in the 1940s

Video

What Is Methane Hydrate?

"Flaming ice" is a vast natural energy source

Video

NASA's Time-Lapse of the Sun

Now with epic dubstep music

Video

Shaken Not Tuned: Cocktail Experiments

Can a tuning fork improve a cocktail?

Video

Video

Is He Cheating? A 1950s Guide

'That little blonde secretary from the office?’

Video

New Yorkers: Vintage Vacuum-Tube Amps

Risking electric shock to restore old amplifiers

Video

The DIY Piano-Bicycle

Everybody needs a hobby

Writers

Up
Down

More in Business

In Focus

Photos of Tornado Damage in Moore, Oklahoma

Just In