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Megan McArdle

Megan McArdle - Megan McArdle is a senior editor for The Atlantic who writes about business and economics. She has worked at three start-ups, a consulting firm, an investment bank, a disaster recovery firm at Ground Zero, and The Economist. She is currently on leave.
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Megan was born and raised on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and yes, she does enjoy her lattes, as well as the occasional extra-dry skim-milk cappuccino. Her checkered work history includes three start-ups, four years as a technology project manager for a boutique consulting firm, a summer as an associate at an investment bank, and a year spent as sort of an executive copy girl for one of the disaster-recovery firms at Ground Zero � all before the age of 30.

While working at Ground Zero, Megan started Live From the WTC, a blog focused on economics, business, and cooking. She may or may not have been the first major economics blogger, depending on whether we are allowed to throw outlying variables such as Brad Delong out of the set. From there it was but a few steps down the slippery slope to freelance journalism. She has worked in various capacities for The Economist, where she wrote about economics and oversaw the founding of Free Exchange, the magazine's economics blog. She has also maintained her own blog, Asymmetrical Information, which moved to The Atlantic, along with its owner, in August 2007.

Megan holds a bachelor's degree in English literature from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago. After a lifetime as a New Yorker, she now resides in northwest Washington, D.C., where she is still trying to figure out what one does with an apartment larger than 400 square feet.

What Were Greek Bondholders Being Paid For?

By Megan McArdle
May 16 2010, 8:54 AM ET Comment

I agree with Felix Salmon that we should still fear Greek default--if not now, then eventually.  (I also agree with Henry Farrell that if the eurozone does pull this one out, it will have substantially deepened its ties and economic institutions. Or at least this is what I take him to be saying.)

But I don't understand this line in Felix's post:

More generally, financial markets are good at taking the collapse of risky assets in their stride: what they're bad at is dealing with the collapse of assets they thought were safe. And until very recently, Greek bonds were considered to be an interest-rate play, not a credit play. As a result, the institutions owning them can ill afford to see big losses on them.

There's no currency risk on Greek bonds. And because they're issued in a major currency, I don't see liquidity being a major independent issue.  Unless I'm missing something, that leaves duration, and default risk.  Assuming that the Greeks hadn't managed to produce some wacky duration mix, the "interest rate play" was a credit play.   The fact that these institutions failed to correctly price the credit risk is perhaps understandable, but if they thought they were doing something other than taking on credit risk, it seems to me that they were borderline insane.


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