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Megan McArdle

Megan McArdle - Megan McArdle is a senior editor for The Atlantic who writes about business and economics. She has worked at three start-ups, a consulting firm, an investment bank, a disaster recovery firm at Ground Zero, and The Economist. She is currently on leave.
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Megan was born and raised on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and yes, she does enjoy her lattes, as well as the occasional extra-dry skim-milk cappuccino. Her checkered work history includes three start-ups, four years as a technology project manager for a boutique consulting firm, a summer as an associate at an investment bank, and a year spent as sort of an executive copy girl for one of the disaster-recovery firms at Ground Zero � all before the age of 30.

While working at Ground Zero, Megan started Live From the WTC, a blog focused on economics, business, and cooking. She may or may not have been the first major economics blogger, depending on whether we are allowed to throw outlying variables such as Brad Delong out of the set. From there it was but a few steps down the slippery slope to freelance journalism. She has worked in various capacities for The Economist, where she wrote about economics and oversaw the founding of Free Exchange, the magazine's economics blog. She has also maintained her own blog, Asymmetrical Information, which moved to The Atlantic, along with its owner, in August 2007.

Megan holds a bachelor's degree in English literature from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago. After a lifetime as a New Yorker, she now resides in northwest Washington, D.C., where she is still trying to figure out what one does with an apartment larger than 400 square feet.

Finance Jobs Weathering the Storm Better Than Most?

By Megan McArdle
May 19 2010, 2:11 PM ET Comment

A rather shocking graphic from Mike Mandel seems to indicated that finance isn't suffering much during this recession:



financialjobs.png
At closer examination, though, I'm not sure how much that means. It's not very surprising that commercial banking has lost very few jobs; it wasn't the kind of boomtown that, say structured finance was.  And the "Finance and insurance" category includes Goldman Sachs--but also the millions who labor as claims adjusters and call center operators and actuaries in the insurance industry.  Insurance, unlike structured finance, is labor intensive:  it pays a lot of people a little money, instead of a few people a lot.  And it's a highly regulated business without the wild swings in either demand or profitability that you see in Wall Street business lines.  Given those facts, the bulk of that "finance and insurance" line probably consists of mostly the latter.

That isn't to say that financial workers aren't surviving surprisingly well, given the carnage some of its employees managed--just that it's hard to say one way or another using that data.

Update:  I see Felix Salmon had similar thoughts

So what's my theory? If you look at the chart, it turns out that the job losses in finance are put into two buckets. There's "commercial banking", on the one hand, which has had very small job losses: people have just as many checking accounts and bank loans as they always did. And then there's "finance and insurance", which is what we generally think of as Wall Street, but which also includes the enormous number of employees in the insurance industry. And just like commercial banking, the insurance industry is pretty steady, and is going to have seen very few job losses indeed. What's more, it's probably bigger, in terms of total headcount, than the investment-banking industry.

So assume that insurance has seen even fewer job losses than commercial banking, and that it accounts for most of the jobs in "finance and insurance" -- in that case, the job losses on Wall Street alone could be very large indeed to get to that final 7.3% figure.

Before reading too much into these numbers, then, I'd like to see a bit more disaggregation. It might be true that Wall Street hasn't seen condign punishment in terms of job losses. But on the other hand, it might not.




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