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Did Big Government Save Us From a Second Great Depression?
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Paul Krugman says yes. I think he might be right, though counterfactuals are tricky. Most countries that have financial crises don't end up mired in a decade-long depression, even with remarkably crappy policy.
The question remains, what kind of Big Government? It wasn't the stimulus, which has barely started. Rather, we did three things differently than we did in 1932:
I'm not sure what we just went through validates any reasonable philosophy of government, except "give officials room to make ad-hoc decisions, and hope they don't do too badly."
The question remains, what kind of Big Government? It wasn't the stimulus, which has barely started. Rather, we did three things differently than we did in 1932:
- We didn't follow a contractionary monetary policy
- We shoveled gigantic wads of cash into the banking system without much regard for who it was going to, or what they might spend it on
- We maintained a high level of spending that kept aggregate demand from contracting as powerfully as it did in 1932.
I'm not sure what we just went through validates any reasonable philosophy of government, except "give officials room to make ad-hoc decisions, and hope they don't do too badly."
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