Commenters in my last piece on the government's GM intervention argued that the Obama administration was certainly going to micromanage the company, despite its promises not to, because it's morbidly interested in a future of fuel-efficient cars. There are plenty of smart reasons to be nervous about lawyers and economists running a manufacturing plant, but what is the argument for Obama to have no influence over GM?
He owns 60% of the company -- certainly he should have the right to approve more than 0% of its corporate strategy. Even if Obama has promised a hand-off approach,
he's still likely to use his free hands to point GM toward certain
values, like shifting away from trucks toward fuel-efficent cars. The
1990s and early 2000s was a world in which oil was inexhaustible and
cheap and its gluttonous consuption was somewhat of a national right.
So this
happened (see below) and the nation's foremost car company stopped being a car
company with trucks and became a truck company that also made some cars.
This graph shows truck production eclipsing cars just before the turn
of the century, and GM remains historically trucky-heavy
to this day. I can't say how dramatically GM's leadership wants to change that, but Obama has made clear what he wants from
a restructured GM: a company that can compete in a future where oil is
not like air, and fuel-efficient cars dominate the market. Like him, I
just don't see how the road to long-term profit is paved with Cadillac
Escalades.
As Atlantic contributor Ryan Avent points out today,
rising oil prices are back in the news, as if to torment the memory of
the Hummer as its humbled brand. Ryan writes: "We can never again count
on consistently cheap oil, and so what can we do to protect ourselves
economically?" Jennifer Granholm, in step with the president, blogs
today in the Huffington Post that the only future for the decrepit
Michigan manufucturing scene is green. I don't believe in
micromanaging, but I do believe in macromanaging, and a car company
without a realistic vision of future -- whether understood by the GM
board or pressed by Washington to internalize it -- is not a car
company worth saving.




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