I am surprised by how quickly the media publicity concerning the Administration's blueprint for financial regulatory reform, issued on July 17, has dissipated. Does this mean the plan is DOA (dead on arrival)? The plan has serious flaws, as I have argued in my previous blog entries in this series, and we should not be sad to see it die, and the entire reform program deferred until the causes of the financial crisis have been studied in greater depth than has been possible so far. The theory behind the Administration's plan seems to be first impose sentence and then conduct the trial to determine whether the bankers, the homebuyers, and the other culprits identified in the Administration's report are really the culpable ones.
Ignored, along with other regulatory failures, is the role of the Federal Reserve in forcing interest rates too far down, and keeping them too far down for too long, during the early years of this decade, and in neglecting growing signs of housing and credit bubbles caused by low interest rates. Since senior economic officials in the Administration were implicated in these failures of regulation and the thrust of the report is that we need more regulation, it is not surprising that the report gives regulators a pass by attreibuting their failures (when mentioned at all, which is infrequent in the report) to lack of authority, attributable to gaps in the regulatory structure.
Before any ambitious plan of regulatory reform is adopted, with all the delay and confusion and unintended consequences that are inevitable, we should make sure that the regulators are employing their existing powers to the full and yet nevertheless there is need for more regulation. Just last week the SEC announced that it is imposing reserve and capital requirements on money-market funds, requirements that had they been in forced last September would have reduced the systemic consequences of Lehman Brothers' collapse. Let us wait, and see what more the fresh crew of regulators installed by the new Administration can do.
I want to apply the principle of no regulatory restructuring until the regulators have exerted their existing powers to the full to the centerpiece of the Administration's proposal, which is to constitute the Federal Reserve as the nation's "systemic risk regulator." The Fed would be empowered to designate any financial enterprise a "Tier 1 Financial Holding Company" and having done so impose on the enterprise whatever restrictions it thought necessary to eliminate it as a source of systemic risk, which is to say the risk that if the enterprise failed it would carry down with it all or part of the entire financial system.
What is true, as I have explained in previous blog entries, is that financial firms that are not commercial banks--and these nonbanks or "shadow banks" are now in the aggregate a larger source of credit than commercial banks are--can create systemic risk. I have illustrated in previous entries with Lehman Brothers, and to recapitulate briefly, Lehman, a broker-dealer, was among its other activities a dealer in the commercial paper and money-market fund markets. It would issue its own commercial paper (short-term promissory notes) to money-market funds and use the money that it borrowed in this manner to buy commercial paper from (that is, to lend to) nonfinancial firms that finance their day-to-day operations by issuing commercial paper. When Lehman became insolvent because of losses sustained elsewhere in its business, it could not repay the money-market funds or continue lending to issuers of commercial paper. As a result of Lehman's distress and that of similarly situated broker-dealers, the commercial-paper and money-market funds markets froze, greatly exacerbating the credit crisis. Lehman was not one of the largest nonbank banks, but because of its interdependence with other participants in the overall credit market, as I have illlustrated, its sudden collapse had serious repercussions.
The Federal Reserve claims that it lacked the legal authority to save Lehman from collapsing by lending it the money it would have needed to stave off bankruptcy. I am not persuaded. Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U.S.C. § 343 authorizes the Fed to lend money to a nonbank provided the loan is "secured to the satisfaction of the Federal reserve bank." Lehman did not have good security for the loan it needed, but, in the emergency circumstances created by a collapsing global financial system, the Fed could have declared itself "satisfied" with whatever security Lehman could have offered. The statutory term "secured to the satisfaction" is not defined either in the statute or in regulations issued by the Fed, and although there is disagreement over its meaning, a recent article states that "The Fed was effectively granted complete discretion to accept any types of collateral for a [loan] made in 'unusual and exigent' circumstances." Thomas O. Porter II, "The Federal Reserve's Catch 22: A Legal Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Emergency Powers," 13 North Carolina Banking Institute 508 (2009). Although the amount by which Lehman's liabilities exceeded its assets is unclear, the usual figure suggested is $30 billion. This is a large number, but small relative to the potential losses on other loans made by the Fed during the acute phase of the financial crisis.