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Megan McArdle

Megan McArdle - Megan McArdle is a senior editor for The Atlantic who writes about business and economics. She has worked at three start-ups, a consulting firm, an investment bank, a disaster recovery firm at Ground Zero, and The Economist. She is currently on leave.
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Megan was born and raised on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and yes, she does enjoy her lattes, as well as the occasional extra-dry skim-milk cappuccino. Her checkered work history includes three start-ups, four years as a technology project manager for a boutique consulting firm, a summer as an associate at an investment bank, and a year spent as sort of an executive copy girl for one of the disaster-recovery firms at Ground Zero � all before the age of 30.

While working at Ground Zero, Megan started Live From the WTC, a blog focused on economics, business, and cooking. She may or may not have been the first major economics blogger, depending on whether we are allowed to throw outlying variables such as Brad Delong out of the set. From there it was but a few steps down the slippery slope to freelance journalism. She has worked in various capacities for The Economist, where she wrote about economics and oversaw the founding of Free Exchange, the magazine's economics blog. She has also maintained her own blog, Asymmetrical Information, which moved to The Atlantic, along with its owner, in August 2007.

Megan holds a bachelor's degree in English literature from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago. After a lifetime as a New Yorker, she now resides in northwest Washington, D.C., where she is still trying to figure out what one does with an apartment larger than 400 square feet.

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By Megan McArdle
May 5 2009, 4:05 PM ET Comment

If this becomes a trend, it's potentially revolutionary:  "Goldman Sachs's fund arm is developing a new global credit strategy for institutions that will rely on market prices rather than heavily-criticised credit rating agencies."




Any purveyor of information is vulnerable to the fact that the subjects of the information have much more at stake than the (many) consumers of said information.  You care more about the contents of your credit report than any individual bank.  In the case of the banks, this is counterbalanced by the fact that they have more money, and perhaps paradoxically, that they are fewer.  But in the case of things like bond ratings and search engine results, you always have to guard against the possibility that the subjects will find some way to bribe the intermediary.

The Goldman fund kills that incentive with transparency--if its ratings are bad, that will show up when it underperforms the market.  On the other hand, there's a real risk that its analysis will nonetheless converge with the ratings agencies, because of career risk for the managers.  If your fund drops when the market does, you still have a job.  If your fund drops at some other time, then no matter how good your probabilistic analysis, sheeplike investors will move their money elsewhere.  Like the sellout risk, career risk  seems to afflict most intermediaries that operate long enough.  (Including, natch, the government.)

Still, over the short term, it will be interesting to see whether investors prefer their black box to the black boxes at Fitch's and Moody's.

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