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Megan McArdle

Megan McArdle - Megan McArdle is a senior editor for The Atlantic who writes about business and economics. She has worked at three start-ups, a consulting firm, an investment bank, a disaster recovery firm at Ground Zero, and The Economist. More

Megan was born and raised on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, and yes, she does enjoy her lattes, as well as the occasional extra-dry skim-milk cappuccino. Her checkered work history includes three start-ups, four years as a technology project manager for a boutique consulting firm, a summer as an associate at an investment bank, and a year spent as sort of an executive copy girl for one of the disaster-recovery firms at Ground Zero … all before the age of 30.

While working at Ground Zero, Megan started Live From the WTC, a blog focused on economics, business, and cooking. She may or may not have been the first major economics blogger, depending on whether we are allowed to throw outlying variables such as Brad Delong out of the set. From there it was but a few steps down the slippery slope to freelance journalism. She has worked in various capacities for The Economist, where she wrote about economics and oversaw the founding of Free Exchange, the magazine's economics blog. She has also maintained her own blog, Asymmetrical Information, which moved to The Atlantic, along with its owner, in August 2007.

Megan holds a bachelor's degree in English literature from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago. After a lifetime as a New Yorker, she now resides in northwest Washington, D.C., where she is still trying to figure out what one does with an apartment larger than 400 square feet.

GM lowers its sales forecasts

By Megan McArdle
Jan 16 2009, 9:32 AM ET Comment

When I said last month that GM was too screwed up to be helped by a temporary cash infusion, I was called an anti-union hack who just wanted to see good union jobs destroyed so that all the workers would have to become footmen in the houses of my rich patrons.

This did not make me any less right about GM being too screwed up to be helped by a temporary cash infusion, apparently:

In a presentation to analysts Thursday, GM executives said it is now planning on total vehicle sales of 10.5 million cars and trucks in the U.S. this year. That's down from an earlier forecast of 12 million vehicles that GM gave to Congress in early December when it first sought federal assistance to keep it out of bankruptcy.

GM President Fritz Henderson said that volatility makes any forecast for sales very difficult, and it is for that reason the company is now using more conservative estimates for sales.

The lowered outlook is important because it could be a sign that GM believes it will need more money in order to make it through this downturn. When GM submitted its turnaround plan to Congress last month, the company said that sales of 10.5 million vehicles in 2009 was a "downside scenario."

The CNN article goes on to speculate that the fine folks at GM may be lowballing their expectations in order to a) get more money from Congress and b) hand analysts a nice surprise at the end of the year.  But it seems to me that if they ask for any more money, they should get a long, hard grilling by Congress about why their forecasts changed so drastically in a month.

They won't get such a grilling, of course; more like Harry Reid will roll over on his back so Rick Wagoner can scratch his belly.  But they should.



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