No, really, I'll pull out

The US and Iraq have apparently agreed to a deal to withdraw combat troops by 2011.  This is good news for us; let's hope it's also good news for Iraq.

The election being nigh, of course, thoughts immediately turn to who this is good for in the presidential election.  Kevin Drum is very sure that the answer is Obama.   My first instinct was the opposite.  McCain gets to claim that the Surge worked, the war issue is off the table, and McCain gets the credit for steely resolve without people fearing their sons will end up in Iraq.  I'm puzzled by war opponents who think that voters will suddenly love Obama for having been "right all along".  Assuming arguendo that this is true, the psychological logic is off.  Most Americans supported the war.  Do you become more endeared of your spouse when it turns out that you really should have taken that left fork thirty miles ago?  Most people prefer folie à deux.