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Today's my birthday, so I spent the evening at dinner with loved ones, rather than watching television like the rest of you. This did give me some time to poll a representative sample of the non-wonketariat. My mother, whom I have dubbed The Swing Voter because her vote has correctly called every presidential election since I was sentient, has announced that if Hillary is the nominee, she's voting Republican--regardless of who the Republican is.

Meanwhile, the gay Republican vote is apparently going for McCain, with a margin of error of 100%.

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Megan McArdle is a columnist at Bloomberg View and a former senior editor at The Atlantic. Her new book is The Up Side of Down.

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